Fulham vs Southampton preview, 22 Dec 2024: xG form

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This match has been played.

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FUL clear favourites at home.

FUL61%Draw22%SOU17%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Fulham1.9Southampton0.9

A 1.0 xG edge, roughly a three-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROFUL attack report PROSouthampton defence report

Very centralVery wide

PROFUL shape report PROSouthampton shape report

Premier League 2024/2025

GW17

22 Dec 14:00

T. Robinson

Last 6, goals vs xG

FUL7 scored from 8.7 xG-1.7

SOU3 scored from 4.8 xG-1.8

32%called correctly

Error score

1% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.209 against 0.212 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·33

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

50%·2

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 41 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Patient build-upFairly direct

Drops right offMixed response

Very cautiousCautious

Very low intensityLow intensity

Middling controlTechnical

LightMiddling physicality

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

FUL Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Pereira	Corners L and R, 11 short	109	3.4
Lukić	Corners L and R, 6 short	42	1.0
Pereira	Free kicks	35	0.7
Wilson	Corners L and R, 7 short	27	0.4
Jiménez	Penalties	3	2.3
Pereira	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

38%

Throw-ins

31%

Southampton Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Fernandes	Corners L and R, 2 short	53	1.6
Fernandes	Free kicks	40	0.6
Manning	Corners L and R, 2 short	32	1.1
Smallbone

PROFUL set pieces PROSouthampton set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

40%

Free kicks

32%

FulhamFulham
0-0
SouthamptonSouthampton

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers