Leicester City vs Aston Villa preview, 31 Aug 2024: xG form

This match has been played.

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AVL clear favourites away from home.

LEI21%Draw22%AVL58%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Leicester1.1Villa2.0

A 0.9 xG edge, roughly a three-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROLeicester City attack report PROAVL defence report

Both sides on eight style axes, possession to direct, low block to high press, against the rest of the league.After gameweek 1

PROLeicester City shape report PROAVL shape report

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Leicester City Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Khannouss	Corners L and R, 6 short	36	0.6
Ayew	Corners L and R, 2 short	28	1.1
Buonanotte	Corners L and R, 5 short	26	1.0
Khannouss	Free kicks	23	0.8
Vardy	Penalties	2	1.5
Ayew	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

38%

Free kicks

28%

AVL Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Tielemans	Corners L and R, 11 short	84	3.1
Tielemans	Free kicks	57	2.7
Watkins	Penalties	2	1.5
Asensio

PROLeicester City set pieces PROAVL set pieces

Leicester CityLeicester
1-2
Aston VillaVilla
Buonanotte 72'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers