Leicester City vs Bournemouth preview, 5 Oct 2024: xG form

05 Oct 14:00

D. Bond

This match has been played.

See full analysis

BOU clear favourites away from home.

LEI17%Draw20%BOU63%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Leicester1.0Bournemouth2.1

A 1.1 xG edge, roughly a three-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROLeicester City attack report PROBOU defence report

Deep blockVery high line

PROLeicester City shape report PROBOU shape report

Last 6, goals vs xG

LEI6 scored from 5.6 xG+0.4

BOU6 scored from 7.1 xG-1.1

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Low intensityVery high intensity

Mixed responseHeavy counter-press

Mixed build-upVery direct

Middling physicalityPhysically dominant

Takes risksVery bold

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

Leicester City Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Khannouss	Corners L and R, 6 short	36	0.6
Ayew	Corners L and R, 2 short	28	1.1
Buonanotte	Corners L and R, 5 short	26	1.0
Khannouss	Free kicks	23	0.8
Vardy	Penalties	2	1.5
Ayew	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

38%

Free kicks

28%

BOU Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Cook	Corners L and R, 7 short	76	3.0
Tavernier	Corners L and R, 7 short	48	1.2
Cook	Free kicks	36	0.6
Kluivert

PROLeicester City set pieces PROBOU set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

40%

Penalties

24%

Leicester CityLeicester
1-0
BournemouthBournemouth
Buonanotte 15'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers