Leicester City vs Crystal Palace preview, 15 Jan 2025: xG form

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This match has been played.

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CRY clear favourites away from home.

LEI20%Draw22%CRY58%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Leicester1.1C. Palace1.9

A 0.9 xG edge, roughly a three-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROLeicester City attack report PROCRY defence report

Mixed responseHeavy counter-press

PROLeicester City shape report PROCRY shape report

Mateta 51'
Guéhi 77'

Premier League 2024/2025

GW21

15 Jan 19:30

A. Madley

Last 6, goals vs xG

LEI6 scored from 5.6 xG+0.4

CRY10 scored from 9.8 xG+0.2

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Mixed build-upVery direct

Middling physicalityPhysically dominant

Deep blockSits deeper

Takes risksVery bold

Low intensityLow intensity

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

Leicester City Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Khannouss	Corners L and R, 6 short	36	0.6
Ayew	Corners L and R, 2 short	28	1.1
Buonanotte	Corners L and R, 5 short	26	1.0
Khannouss	Free kicks	23	0.8
Vardy	Penalties	2	1.5
Ayew	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

38%

Free kicks

28%

CRY Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Eze	Free kicks	62	1.8
Eze	Corners L and R, 10 short	61	1.3
Hughes	Corners L and R, 7 short	54	3.7
Lerma

PROLeicester City set pieces PROCRY set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

49%

Throw-ins

19%

Leicester CityLeicester
0-2
Crystal PalaceC. Palace

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers