Leicester City vs Liverpool preview, 20 Apr 2025: xG form

This match has been played.

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LIV clear favourites away from home.

LEI11%Draw16%LIV74%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Leicester0.9Liverpool2.6

A 1.7 xG edge, roughly a three-in-four win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROLeicester City attack report PROLIV defence report

Both sides on eight style axes, possession to direct, low block to high press, against the rest of the league.After gameweek 1

PROLeicester City shape report PROLIV shape report

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Player	Rating					Rotation
C. GakpoWG · LIV	--	25%	7%	0.84	43%	High	0.52
S. MavididiWG · Leicester City	--	16%	6%	0.33	71%	High	0.00
D. SzoboszlaiCAM · LIV	--	15%	11%	0.47	61%	Medium	0.05
C. JonesCAM · LIV	--	15%	7%	0.39	59%	Medium	0.73
A. Mac AllisterCM · LIV	--	14%	13%	0.29	98%	Low	0.00
P. DakaCF · Leicester City	--	12%	2%	0.30	50%	High	0.00

36 more players

Leicester City Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Khannouss	Corners L and R, 6 short	36	0.6
Ayew	Corners L and R, 2 short	28	1.1
Buonanotte	Corners L and R, 5 short	26	1.0
Khannouss	Free kicks	23	0.8
Vardy	Penalties	2	1.5
Ayew	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

38%

Free kicks

28%

LIV Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Allister	Corners L and R, 8 short	72	2.8
Robertson	Corners L and R, 4 short	59	1.6
Alexander-Arnold	Corners L and R, 8 short	55	2.0
Tsimikas

PROLeicester City set pieces PROLIV set pieces

Leicester CityLeicester
0-1
LiverpoolLiverpool
0.26-4.19
Alexander-Arnold 75'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers

Leicester CityLeicester0-1LiverpoolLiverpool0.26-4.19Alexander-Arnold 75'