Leicester City vs Manchester City preview, 29 Dec 2024: xG form

29 Dec 14:30

M. Oliver

This match has been played.

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MCI clear favourites away from home.

LEI15%Draw19%MCI66%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Leicester1.0Man City2.2

A 1.3 xG edge, roughly a two-in-three win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROLeicester City attack report PROMCI defence report

Deep blockPresses higher

PROLeicester City shape report PROMCI shape report

Last 6, goals vs xG

LEI6 scored from 5.6 xG+0.4

MCI10 scored from 11.0 xG-1.0

32%called correctly

Error score

1% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.209 against 0.212 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·33

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

50%·2

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 41 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Very centralWide play

Very cautiousTakes risks

ScrappyVery technical

Patient build-upMixed build-up

Drops right offMixed response

LightMiddling physicality

Low intensityMiddling intensity

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

Leicester City Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Khannouss	Corners L and R, 6 short	36	0.6
Ayew	Corners L and R, 2 short	28	1.1
Buonanotte	Corners L and R, 5 short	26	1.0
Khannouss	Free kicks	23	0.8
Vardy	Penalties	2	1.5
Ayew	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

38%

Free kicks

28%

MCI Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Bruyne	Corners L and R, 33 short	94	2.7
Gündoğan	Corners L and R, 9 short	46	1.7
Foden	Corners L and R, 6 short	46	2.3
Bruyne

PROLeicester City set pieces PROMCI set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

46%

Throw-ins

26%

Leicester CityLeicester
0-2
Manchester CityMan City

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers