Leicester City vs Manchester Utd Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

See full analysis

MUN clear favourites away from home.

LEI21%Draw22%MUN57%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Leicester1.1Man Utd1.9

A 0.9 xG edge, roughly a three-in-five win.

Leicester City attack273 chances

PROLeicester City attack report PROMUN defence report

Very centralWide play

PROLeicester City shape report PROMUN shape report

MUN attack408 chances

47%193 / 408

18%73 / 408

35%142 / 408

LeftCentreRight

LW0.45

CF0.42

RW0.37

CAM0.24

CDM0.13

CM0.24

LB0.08

CB0.16

RB0.16

MUN create most through the left, without a clear opening there.

33%called correctly

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

25%·24

50-60%

67%·3

60-70%

50%·2

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 30 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

Leicester City Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Hermansen	Free kicks	46	0.1
Khannouss	Corners L and R	36	0.6
Ayew	Corners L and R	28	1.1
Buonanotte	Corners L and R	26	1.0
Vardy	Penalties	2	1.5
Ayew	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

38%

Free kicks

28%

MUN Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Fernandes	Corners L and R	91	2.7
Fernandes	Free kicks	73	3.1
Eriksen	Corners L and R	62	1.8
Onana

PROLeicester City set pieces PROMUN set pieces

Leicester CityLeicester
0-3
Manchester UtdMan Utd

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers