Liverpool vs Leicester City preview, 26 Dec 2024: xG form

Viewing the 2024/25 seasonGo to 2026/27

This match has been played.

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LIV clear favourites at home.

LIV80%Draw13%LEI8%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Liverpool2.9Leicester0.8

A 2.1 xG edge, roughly a four-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROLIV attack report PROLeicester City defence report

Deep blockVery high line

PROLIV shape report PROLeicester City shape report

Premier League 2024/2025

GW18

26 Dec 20:00

D. Bond

Last 6, goals vs xG

LIV12 scored from 15.2 xG-3.2

LEI6 scored from 5.6 xG+0.4

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

ScrappyVery technical

Low intensityVery high intensity

Central playWide play

LightMiddling physicality

Mixed responseMixed response

Mixed build-upMixed build-up

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

LIV Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Allister	Corners L and R, 8 short	72	2.8
Robertson	Corners L and R, 4 short	59	1.6
Alexander-Arnold	Corners L and R, 8 short	55	2.0
Tsimikas	Corners L and R, 3 short	41	1.5
Alexander-Arnold	Free kicks	19	0.3
Salah	Penalties	9	6.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

42%

Penalties

27%

Leicester City Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Khannouss	Corners L and R, 6 short	36	0.6
Ayew	Corners L and R, 2 short	28	1.1
Buonanotte	Corners L and R, 5 short	26	1.0
Khannouss

PROLIV set pieces PROLeicester City set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

38%

Free kicks

28%

LiverpoolLiverpool
3-1
Leicester CityLeicester
Gakpo 45'
Jones 48'
Salah

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers