Liverpool vs West Ham United preview, 13 Apr 2025: xG form

This match has been played.

See full analysis

LIV clear favourites at home.

LIV66%Draw19%WHU15%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Liverpool2.3West Ham1.0

A 1.3 xG edge, roughly a two-in-three win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROLIV attack report PROWHU defence report

Both sides on eight style axes, possession to direct, low block to high press, against the rest of the league.After gameweek 1

PROLIV shape report PROWHU shape report

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Player	Rating					Rotation
J. BowenCF · WHU	--	25%	14%	0.44	98%	Low	0.20
C. GakpoWG · LIV	--	20%	6%	0.74	38%	High	0.55
T. SoučekCAM · WHU	--	16%	3%	0.28	73%	Medium	0.33
D. SzoboszlaiCAM · LIV	--	16%	12%	0.41	72%	Low	0.05
C. JonesCAM · LIV	--	14%	6%	0.35	61%	Medium	0.13
A. Mac AllisterCM · LIV	--	10%	11%	0.23	96%	Low	0.13

34 more players

LIV Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Allister	Corners L and R, 8 short	72	2.8
Robertson	Corners L and R, 4 short	59	1.6
Alexander-Arnold	Corners L and R, 8 short	55	2.0
Tsimikas	Corners L and R, 3 short	41	1.5
Alexander-Arnold	Free kicks	19	0.3
Salah	Penalties	9	6.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

42%

Penalties

27%

WHU Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Bowen	Corners L and R, 3 short	44	1.1
Ward-Prowse	Corners L and R, 1 short	34	0.8
Palmieri	Corners L and R, 2 short	25	1.2
Ward-Prowse

PROLIV set pieces PROWHU set pieces

LiverpoolLiverpool
2-1
West Ham UnitedWest Ham
Díaz 17'
van Dijk 88'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers