Liverpool vs Wolverhampton preview, 16 Feb 2025: xG form

16 Feb 14:00

S. Hooper

This match has been played.

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LIV clear favourites at home.

LIV61%Draw21%WOL18%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Liverpool2.0Wolves1.0

A 1.0 xG edge, roughly a three-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROLIV attack report PROWOL defence report

Deep blockVery high line

PROLIV shape report PROWOL shape report

Last 6, goals vs xG

LIV12 scored from 15.2 xG-3.2

WOL7 scored from 8.1 xG-1.1

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Middling controlVery technical

Middling intensityVery high intensity

LightMiddling physicality

Sits offMixed response

CautiousMeasured risk

Central playCentral play

Mixed build-upMixed build-up

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

LIV Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Allister	Corners L and R, 8 short	72	2.8
Robertson	Corners L and R, 4 short	59	1.6
Alexander-Arnold	Corners L and R, 8 short	55	2.0
Tsimikas	Corners L and R, 3 short	41	1.5
Alexander-Arnold	Free kicks	19	0.3
Salah	Penalties	9	6.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

42%

Penalties

27%

WOL Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Cunha	Corners L and R, 4 short	73	2.2
Cunha	Free kicks	34	1.0
Aït-Nouri	Corners L and R, 2 short	30	1.0
Sarabia

PROLIV set pieces PROWOL set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

42%

Throw-ins

34%

LiverpoolLiverpool
2-1
WolverhamptonWolves
Díaz 14'
Salah (P) 36'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers