Manchester City vs Leicester City preview, 2 Apr 2025: xG form

02 Apr 18:45

D. England

This match has been played.

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MCI clear favourites at home.

MCI73%Draw16%LEI11%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Man City2.5Leicester0.9

A 1.6 xG edge, roughly a three-in-four win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROMCI attack report PROLeicester City defence report

Deep blockPresses higher

PROMCI shape report PROLeicester City shape report

Last 6, goals vs xG

MCI10 scored from 11.0 xG-1.0

LEI6 scored from 5.6 xG+0.4

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Very centralWide play

Very cautiousTakes risks

ScrappyVery technical

Patient build-upMixed build-up

Drops right offMixed response

LightMiddling physicality

Low intensityMiddling intensity

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

MCI Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Bruyne	Corners L and R, 33 short	94	2.7
Gündoğan	Corners L and R, 9 short	46	1.7
Foden	Corners L and R, 6 short	46	2.3
Bruyne	Free kicks	20	0.1
Foden	Free kicks	19	0.5
Haaland	Penalties	4	3.0

Share of set-play xG

Corners

46%

Throw-ins

26%

Leicester City Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Khannouss	Corners L and R, 6 short	36	0.6
Ayew	Corners L and R, 2 short	28	1.1
Buonanotte	Corners L and R, 5 short	26	1.0
Khannouss

PROMCI set pieces PROLeicester City set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

38%

Free kicks

28%

Manchester CityMan City
2-0
Leicester CityLeicester
Grealish 1'
Marmoush 28'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers