Manchester City vs Tottenham preview, 23 Nov 2024: xG form

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Maddison 12'
Maddison 19'
Porro 52'
Johnson 92'

Premier League 2024/2025

GW12

23 Nov 17:30

J. Brooks

This match has been played.

See full analysis

MCI clear favourites at home.

MCI57%Draw21%TOT21%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Man City2.0Tottenham1.2

A 0.9 xG edge, roughly a three-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROMCI attack report PROTOT defence report

Very centralEven width

PROMCI shape report PROTOT shape report

Last 6, goals vs xG

MCI10 scored from 11.0 xG-1.0

TOT4 scored from 5.1 xG-1.1

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Very cautiousMeasured risk

Middling controlVery technical

Middling intensityVery high intensity

Patient build-upPossession-based

Mid-blockPresses higher

Drops right offSits off

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

MCI Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Bruyne	Corners L and R, 33 short	94	2.7
Gündoğan	Corners L and R, 9 short	46	1.7
Foden	Corners L and R, 6 short	46	2.3
Bruyne	Free kicks	20	0.1
Foden	Free kicks	19	0.5
Haaland	Penalties	4	3.0

Share of set-play xG

Corners

46%

Throw-ins

26%

TOT Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Kulusevski	Corners R, 32 short	59	1.0
Maddison	Corners L and R, 8 short	58	2.3
Porro	Corners L and R, 5 short	54	1.8
Heung-Min

PROMCI set pieces PROTOT set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

49%

Throw-ins

20%

Manchester CityMan City
0-4
TottenhamTottenham

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers