Manchester Utd vs Bournemouth preview, 22 Dec 2024: xG form

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Huijsen 28'
Kluivert (P) 60'
Semenyo 63'

Premier League 2024/2025

GW17

22 Dec 14:00

C. Pawson

This match has been played.

See full analysis

BOU favoured away from home, but only just.

MUN36%Draw25%BOU39%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Man Utd1.4Bournemouth1.5

A 0.1 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

MUN attack

LW0.45

CF0.42

RW0.37

CAM0.24

CDM0.13

CM0.24

LB0.08

CB0.16

RB0.16

PROMUN attack report PROBOU defence report

Very centralVery wide

PROMUN shape report PROBOU shape report

Last 6, goals vs xG

MUN6 scored from 10.8 xG-4.8

BOU6 scored from 7.1 xG-1.1

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Possession-basedVery direct

Mid-blockVery high line

High intensityVery high intensity

Counter-pressesHeavy counter-press

Fairly physicalPhysically dominant

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

MUN Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Fernandes	Corners L and R, 14 short	91	2.7
Fernandes	Free kicks	69	2.8
Eriksen	Corners L and R, 13 short	62	1.8
Diallo	Corners L and R, 8 short	33	1.3
Fernandes	Penalties	3	2.3
Eriksen	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

46%

Free kicks

21%

BOU Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Cook	Corners L and R, 7 short	76	3.0
Tavernier	Corners L and R, 7 short	48	1.2
Cook	Free kicks	36	0.6
Kluivert

PROMUN set pieces PROBOU set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

40%

Penalties

24%

Manchester UtdMan Utd
0-3
BournemouthBournemouth

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers