Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace preview, 16 Apr 2025: xG form

This match has been played.

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NEW favoured at home, but only just.

NEW43%Draw24%CRY33%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Newcastle1.6Palace1.4

A 0.2 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PRONEW attack report PROCRY defence report

Both sides on eight style axes, possession to direct, low block to high press, against the rest of the league.After gameweek 1

PRONEW shape report PROCRY shape report

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

NEW Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Trippier	Corners L and R, 12 short	61	1.6
Hall	Corners L and R, 6 short	56	2.1
Gordon	Corners L and R, 8 short	53	1.2
Hall	Free kicks	32	0.9
Isak	Penalties	4	3.0
Gordon	Penalties	2	1.5

Share of set-play xG

Corners

36%

Throw-ins

26%

CRY Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Eze	Free kicks	62	1.8
Eze	Corners L and R, 10 short	61	1.3
Hughes	Corners L and R, 7 short	54	3.7
Lerma

PRONEW set pieces PROCRY set pieces

Newcastle UnitedNewcastle
5-0
Crystal PalacePalace
Murphy 13'
Guéhi (OG) 37'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers