Newcastle United vs Everton preview, 25 May 2025: xG form

This match has been played.

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NEW favoured at home, but only just.

NEW48%Draw25%EVE27%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Newcastle1.6Everton1.1

A 0.5 xG edge, roughly a one-in-two win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PRONEW attack report PROEVE defence report

Both sides on eight style axes, possession to direct, low block to high press, against the rest of the league.After gameweek 1

PRONEW shape report PROEVE shape report

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Player	Rating					Rotation
BetoCF · EVE	--	24%	3%	0.52	58%	Medium	0.62
H. BarnesWG · NEW	--	21%	9%	0.57	58%	Medium	0.08
I. NdiayeWG · EVE	--	19%	5%	0.35	77%	Medium	0.02
Bruno GuimarãesCM · NEW	--	15%	12%	0.29	100%	Low	0.10
J. MurphyWG · NEW	--	14%	17%	0.49	70%	Low	0.20
D. BurnCB · NEW	--	12%	3%	0.15	100%	Low	0.07

40 more players

NEW Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Trippier	Corners L and R, 12 short	61	1.6
Hall	Corners L and R, 6 short	56	2.1
Gordon	Corners L and R, 8 short	53	1.2
Hall	Free kicks	32	0.9
Isak	Penalties	4	3.0
Gordon	Penalties	2	1.5

Share of set-play xG

Corners

36%

Throw-ins

26%

EVE Player	Routine	Taken	xG
McNeil	Corners L and R, 4 short	45	1.7
McNeil	Free kicks	33	1.1
Harrison	Corners R, 2 short	32	1.8
Lindstrøm

PRONEW set pieces PROEVE set pieces

Newcastle UnitedNewcastle
0-1
EvertonEverton

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers