Newcastle Utd vs Fulham preview, 1 Feb 2025: xG form

Viewing the 2024/25 seasonGo to 2026/27

Jiménez 60'
Muniz 81'

Premier League 2024/2025

GW24

01 Feb 15:00

C. Kavanagh

This match has been played.

See full analysis

NEW favoured at home, but only just.

NEW43%Draw25%FUL33%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Newcastle1.6Fulham1.3

A 0.2 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PRONEW attack report PROFUL defence report

Low intensityHigh intensity

PRONEW shape report PROFUL shape report

Last 6, goals vs xG

NEW7 scored from 9.6 xG-2.6

FUL7 scored from 8.7 xG-1.7

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Possession-basedFairly direct

LightMiddling physicality

Mid-blockPresses higher

Middling controlMiddling control

Mixed responseMixed response

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

NEW Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Trippier	Corners L and R, 12 short	61	1.6
Hall	Corners L and R, 6 short	56	2.1
Gordon	Corners L and R, 8 short	53	1.2
Hall	Free kicks	32	0.9
Isak	Penalties	4	3.0
Gordon	Penalties	2	1.5

Share of set-play xG

Corners

36%

Throw-ins

26%

FUL Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Pereira	Corners L and R, 11 short	109	3.4
Lukić	Corners L and R, 6 short	42	1.0
Pereira	Free kicks	35	0.7
Wilson

PRONEW set pieces PROFUL set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

38%

Throw-ins

31%

Newcastle UtdNewcastle
1-2
FulhamFulham
Murphy 36'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers