Newcastle Utd vs Liverpool preview, 4 Dec 2024: xG form

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Jones 49'
Salah 67'
Salah 82'

Premier League 2024/2025

GW14

04 Dec 19:30

A. Madley

This match has been played.

See full analysis

LIV favoured away from home, but only just.

NEW29%Draw23%LIV48%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Newcastle1.4Liverpool1.9

A 0.4 xG edge, roughly a one-in-two win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PRONEW attack report PROLIV defence report

Central playWide play

PRONEW shape report PROLIV shape report

Last 6, goals vs xG

NEW7 scored from 9.6 xG-2.6

LIV12 scored from 15.2 xG-3.2

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Middling controlVery technical

Possession-basedMixed build-up

Presses higherVery high line

High intensityVery high intensity

Mixed responseMixed response

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

NEW Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Trippier	Corners L and R, 12 short	61	1.6
Hall	Corners L and R, 6 short	56	2.1
Gordon	Corners L and R, 8 short	53	1.2
Hall	Free kicks	32	0.9
Isak	Penalties	4	3.0
Gordon	Penalties	2	1.5

Share of set-play xG

Corners

36%

Throw-ins

26%

LIV Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Allister	Corners L and R, 8 short	72	2.8
Robertson	Corners L and R, 4 short	59	1.6
Alexander-Arnold	Corners L and R, 8 short	55	2.0
Tsimikas

PRONEW set pieces PROLIV set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

42%

Penalties

27%

Newcastle UtdNewcastle
3-3
LiverpoolLiverpool
Isak 34'
Gordon 61'
Schär

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers