Nottingham Forest vs Everton preview, 12 Apr 2025: xG form

This match has been played.

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NFO favoured at home, but only just.

NFO43%Draw27%EVE29%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Forest1.4Everton1.1

A 0.3 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PRONFO attack report PROEVE defence report

Middling physicalityPhysically dominant

PRONFO shape report PROEVE shape report

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Player	Rating					Rotation
BetoCF · EVE	--	21%	4%	0.47	59%	Medium	0.26
M. Gibbs-WhiteCAM · NFO	--	18%	13%	0.35	97%	Low	0.22
C. WoodCF · NFO	--	17%	3%	0.51	41%	High	0.49
C. Hudson-OdoiWG · NFO	--	12%	6%	0.31	63%	Medium	0.07
I. NdiayeWG · EVE	--	11%	5%	0.28	60%	Medium	0.33
N. MilenkovićCB · NFO	--	11%	2%	0.14	100%	Low	0.02

34 more players

NFO Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Elanga	Corners L and R, 8 short	85	3.0
Murillo	Free kicks	51	0.7
Anderson	Corners L and R, 2 short	48	4.5
Aina	Throw-ins	45	1.0
Elanga	Free kicks	34	1.5
Wood	Penalties	3	2.3

Share of set-play xG

Corners

49%

Free kicks

23%

EVE Player	Routine	Taken	xG
McNeil	Corners L and R, 4 short	45	1.7
McNeil	Free kicks	33	1.1
Harrison	Corners R, 2 short	32	1.8
Lindstrøm

PRONFO set pieces PROEVE set pieces

Nottingham ForestForest
0-1
EvertonEverton

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers