Tottenham vs Chelsea preview, 8 Dec 2024: xG form

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Sancho 17'
Palmer (P) 60'
Fernández 72'
Palmer (P) 83'

Premier League 2024/2025

GW15

08 Dec 16:30

A. Taylor

This match has been played.

See full analysis

CHE favoured away from home, but only just.

TOT28%Draw23%CHE49%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Tottenham1.3Chelsea1.8

A 0.5 xG edge, roughly a one-in-two win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROTOT attack report PROCHE defence report

Very centralEven width

PROTOT shape report PROCHE shape report

Last 6, goals vs xG

TOT4 scored from 5.1 xG-1.1

CHE8 scored from 8.4 xG-0.4

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Very cautiousMeasured risk

Middling controlVery technical

High intensityVery high intensity

Mid-blockPresses higher

Possession-basedPossession-based

Very lightVery light

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

TOT Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Kulusevski	Corners R, 32 short	59	1.0
Maddison	Corners L and R, 8 short	58	2.3
Porro	Corners L and R, 5 short	54	1.8
Heung-Min	Penalties	2	1.5
Tel	Penalties	1	0.8
Solanke	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

49%

Throw-ins

20%

CHE Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Fernández	Corners L and R, 17 short	75	1.3
Palmer	Corners L and R, 22 short	74	2.9
Neto	Corners L and R, 19 short	55	1.0
Palmer

PROTOT set pieces PROCHE set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Free kicks

30%

Corners

29%

TottenhamTottenham
3-4
ChelseaChelsea
Solanke 4'
Kulusevski 10'
Heung-Min

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers