Tottenham vs Crystal Palace preview, 11 May 2025: xG form

This match has been played.

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CRY favoured away from home, but only just.

TOT35%Draw24%CRY41%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Tottenham1.4C. Palace1.6

A 0.2 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROTOT attack report PROCRY defence report

Very lightPhysically dominant

PROTOT shape report PROCRY shape report

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Player	Rating					Rotation
I. SarrWG · CRY	--	32%	14%	0.57	93%	Medium	0.37
J. MatetaCF · CRY	--	26%	7%	0.52	70%	Low	0.26
RicharlisonCF · TOT	--	19%	4%	0.58	43%	High	0.08
E. NketiahCF · CRY	--	18%	4%	0.70	36%	High	0.21
D. SolankeCF · TOT	--	18%	3%	0.45	52%	High	0.24
M. TelWG · TOT	--	17%	9%	0.42	69%	Medium	0.18

40 more players

TOT Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Kulusevski	Corners R, 32 short	59	1.0
Maddison	Corners L and R, 8 short	58	2.3
Porro	Corners L and R, 5 short	54	1.8
Heung-Min	Penalties	2	1.5
Tel	Penalties	1	0.8
Solanke	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

49%

Throw-ins

20%

CRY Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Eze	Free kicks	62	1.8
Eze	Corners L and R, 10 short	61	1.3
Hughes	Corners L and R, 7 short	54	3.7
Lerma

PROTOT set pieces PROCRY set pieces

TottenhamTottenham
0-2
Crystal PalaceC. Palace

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers