Tottenham vs Fulham preview, 1 Dec 2024: xG form

01 Dec 13:30

D. Bond

This match has been played.

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FUL favoured away from home, but only just.

TOT34%Draw25%FUL41%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Tottenham1.4Fulham1.5

A 0.1 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROTOT attack report PROFUL defence report

Low intensityVery high intensity

PROTOT shape report PROFUL shape report

Last 6, goals vs xG

TOT4 scored from 5.1 xG-1.1

FUL7 scored from 8.7 xG-1.7

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Possession-basedFairly direct

Very lightMiddling physicality

Sits offMixed response

CautiousMeasured risk

Middling controlMiddling control

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

TOT Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Kulusevski	Corners R, 32 short	59	1.0
Maddison	Corners L and R, 8 short	58	2.3
Porro	Corners L and R, 5 short	54	1.8
Heung-Min	Penalties	2	1.5
Tel	Penalties	1	0.8
Solanke	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

49%

Throw-ins

20%

FUL Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Pereira	Corners L and R, 11 short	109	3.4
Lukić	Corners L and R, 6 short	42	1.0
Pereira	Free kicks	35	0.7
Wilson

PROTOT set pieces PROFUL set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

38%

Throw-ins

31%

TottenhamTottenham
1-1
FulhamFulham
Johnson 53'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers