West Ham Utd vs Arsenal preview, 30 Nov 2024: xG form

Viewing the 2024/25 seasonGo to 2026/27

Magalhaes 9'
Trossard 26'
Ødegaard (P) 33'
Havertz 35'
Saka (P) 49'

Premier League 2024/2025

GW13

30 Nov 17:30

A. Taylor

This match has been played.

See full analysis

ARS clear favourites away from home.

WHU21%Draw23%ARS56%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

West Ham1.0Arsenal1.8

A 0.8 xG edge, roughly a three-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROWHU attack report PROARS defence report

Sits deeperVery high line

PROWHU shape report PROARS shape report

Last 6, goals vs xG

WHU10 scored from 7.0 xG+3.0

ARS12 scored from 11.5 xG+0.5

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

ScrappyVery technical

Patient build-upFairly direct

Very cautiousMeasured risk

Sits offCounter-presses

LightMiddling physicality

Middling intensityHigh intensity

Central playEven width

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

WHU Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Bowen	Corners L and R, 3 short	44	1.1
Ward-Prowse	Corners L and R, 1 short	34	0.8
Palmieri	Corners L and R, 2 short	25	1.2
Ward-Prowse	Free kicks	21	0.2
Paquetà	Penalties	2	1.5
Bowen	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

34%

Throw-ins

30%

ARS Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Rice	Corners L and R, 11 short	108	5.6
Saka	Corners R, 5 short	64	3.6
Rice	Free kicks	52	1.3
Ødegaard

PROWHU set pieces PROARS set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

56%

Throw-ins

23%

West Ham UtdWest Ham
2-5
ArsenalArsenal
Wan-Bissaka 37'
Palmieri 39'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers