West Ham Utd vs Nottingham Forest preview, 18 May 2025: xG form

This match has been played.

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NFO favoured away from home, but only just.

WHU34%Draw25%NFO40%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

West Ham1.3Forest1.5

A 0.1 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROWHU attack report PRONFO defence report

Very low intensityMiddling intensity

PROWHU shape report PRONFO shape report

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Player	Rating					Rotation
C. WoodCF · NFO	--	35%	6%	0.58	84%	Low	0.35
J. BowenCF · WHU	--	29%	17%	0.57	93%	Low	0.22
T. SoučekCAM · WHU	--	24%	5%	0.38	86%	Low	0.26
M. Gibbs-WhiteCAM · NFO	--	20%	14%	0.37	99%	Low	0.28
N. DomínguezCM · NFO	--	9%	5%	0.21	69%	Medium	0.21
N. MilenkovićCB · NFO	--	9%	2%	0.11	100%	Low	0.23

31 more players

WHU Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Bowen	Corners L and R, 3 short	44	1.1
Ward-Prowse	Corners L and R, 1 short	34	0.8
Palmieri	Corners L and R, 2 short	25	1.2
Ward-Prowse	Free kicks	21	0.2
Paquetà	Penalties	2	1.5
Bowen	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

34%

Throw-ins

30%

NFO Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Elanga	Corners L and R, 8 short	85	3.0
Murillo	Free kicks	51	0.7
Anderson	Corners L and R, 2 short	48	4.5
Aina

PROWHU set pieces PRONFO set pieces

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

West Ham UtdWest Ham
1-2
Nottingham ForestForest
Bowen 85'

Key players

Set-piece takers