Wolverhampton vs Brighton preview, 10 May 2025: xG form

This match has been played.

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BRI favoured away from home, but only just.

WOL33%Draw26%BHA42%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Wolves1.2Brighton1.4

A 0.2 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROWOL attack report PROBRI defence report

Deep blockVery high line

PROWOL shape report PROBRI shape report

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Player	Rating					Rotation
D. WelbeckCF · BRI	--	22%	5%	0.41	76%	Low	0.22
Y. MintehWG · BRI	--	22%	11%	0.50	73%	Medium	0.06
K. MitomaWG · BRI	--	13%	5%	0.40	47%	High	0.28
M. O'RileyCAM · BRI	--	12%	7%	0.29	69%	Medium	0.22
J. HinshelwoodFB · BRI	--	11%	4%	0.20	80%	Low	0.08
João GomesCM · WOL	--	10%	5%	0.15	99%	Low	0.01

35 more players

WOL Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Cunha	Corners L and R, 4 short	73	2.2
Cunha	Free kicks	34	1.0
Aït-Nouri	Corners L and R, 2 short	30	1.0
Sarabia	Corners L and R, 1 short	24	0.7
Sarabia	Free kicks	23	0.3
Aït-Nouri	Free kicks	13	0.6

Share of set-play xG

Corners

42%

Throw-ins

34%

BRI Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Ayari	Corners L and R, 3 short	37	0.6
Estupiñán	Corners L and R, 5 short	37	0.9
O'Riley	Corners L and R, 6 short	36	1.4
Pedro

PROWOL set pieces PROBRI set pieces

WolverhamptonWolves
0-2
BrightonBrighton

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers