Wolverhampton vs Newcastle Utd preview, 15 Sep 2024: xG form

Viewing the 2024/25 seasonGo to 2026/27

Schär 74'
Barnes 79'

Premier League 2024/2025

GW4

15 Sep 15:30

C. Kavanagh

This match has been played.

See full analysis

NEW favoured away from home, but only just.

WOL34%Draw25%NEW41%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Wolves1.3Newcastle1.5

A 0.2 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROWOL attack report PRONEW defence report

Deep blockPresses higher

PROWOL shape report PRONEW shape report

Last 6, goals vs xG

WOL7 scored from 8.1 xG-1.1

NEW7 scored from 9.6 xG-2.6

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

LightMiddling physicality

Central playWide play

Sits offMixed response

Possession-basedMixed build-up

Middling intensityHigh intensity

Measured riskTakes risks

Middling controlMiddling control

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

WOL Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Cunha	Corners L and R, 4 short	73	2.2
Cunha	Free kicks	34	1.0
Aït-Nouri	Corners L and R, 2 short	30	1.0
Sarabia	Corners L and R, 1 short	24	0.7
Sarabia	Free kicks	23	0.3
Aït-Nouri	Free kicks	13	0.6

Share of set-play xG

Corners

42%

Throw-ins

34%

NEW Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Trippier	Corners L and R, 12 short	61	1.6
Hall	Corners L and R, 6 short	56	2.1
Gordon	Corners L and R, 8 short	53	1.2
Hall

PROWOL set pieces PRONEW set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

36%

Throw-ins

26%

WolverhamptonWolves
1-2
Newcastle UtdNewcastle
Lemina 35'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers