Wolverhampton vs Nottingham Forest preview, 6 Jan 2025: xG form

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This match has been played.

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NFO favoured away from home, but only just.

WOL36%Draw27%NFO37%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Wolves1.3Forest1.3

Next to nothing between them on expected goals, this one could go either way.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROWOL attack report PRONFO defence report

Sits offHeavy counter-press

PROWOL shape report PRONFO shape report

Premier League 2024/2025

GW20

06 Jan 20:00

P. Bankes

Last 6, goals vs xG

WOL7 scored from 8.1 xG-1.1

NFO7 scored from 7.7 xG-0.7

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Central playVery wide

Measured riskVery bold

Very scrappyMiddling control

Very low intensityMiddling intensity

Mixed build-upVery direct

Deep blockSits deeper

Middling physicalityMiddling physicality

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

WOL Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Cunha	Corners L and R, 4 short	73	2.2
Cunha	Free kicks	34	1.0
Aït-Nouri	Corners L and R, 2 short	30	1.0
Sarabia	Corners L and R, 1 short	24	0.7
Sarabia	Free kicks	23	0.3
Aït-Nouri	Free kicks	13	0.6

Share of set-play xG

Corners

42%

Throw-ins

34%

NFO Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Elanga	Corners L and R, 8 short	85	3.0
Murillo	Free kicks	51	0.7
Anderson	Corners L and R, 2 short	48	4.5
Aina

PROWOL set pieces PRONFO set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

49%

Free kicks

23%

WolverhamptonWolves
0-3
Nottingham ForestForest

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers