Wolverhampton vs West Ham Utd preview, 1 Apr 2025: xG form

01 Apr 18:45

T. Harrington

This match has been played.

See full analysis

WOL favoured at home, but only just.

WOL43%Draw26%WHU31%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Wolves1.5West Ham1.2

A 0.3 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROWOL attack report PROWHU defence report

Sits offCounter-presses

PROWOL shape report PROWHU shape report

Last 6, goals vs xG

WOL7 scored from 8.1 xG-1.1

WHU10 scored from 7.0 xG+3.0

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Mixed build-upFairly direct

Deep blockSits deeper

Central playEven width

ScrappyMiddling control

Measured riskMeasured risk

Middling intensityMiddling intensity

Middling physicalityMiddling physicality

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

WOL Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Cunha	Corners L and R, 4 short	73	2.2
Cunha	Free kicks	34	1.0
Aït-Nouri	Corners L and R, 2 short	30	1.0
Sarabia	Corners L and R, 1 short	24	0.7
Sarabia	Free kicks	23	0.3
Aït-Nouri	Free kicks	13	0.6

Share of set-play xG

Corners

42%

Throw-ins

34%

WHU Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Bowen	Corners L and R, 3 short	44	1.1
Ward-Prowse	Corners L and R, 1 short	34	0.8
Palmieri	Corners L and R, 2 short	25	1.2
Ward-Prowse

PROWOL set pieces PROWHU set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

34%

Throw-ins

30%

WolverhamptonWolves
1-0
West Ham UtdWest Ham
Larsen 20'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers