Premier League Match Predictions - xG & Clean Sheet Probabilities

xG-Based Match Predictions

Forecasted goals and clean sheet probabilities for each team using Poisson distribution modeling based on Team Strength Ratings.

Toggle between Expected Goals (xG) for attacking output or Clean Sheet % for defensive analysis using the buttons below.

GW 13–18

H = HomeA = Away

Green highlight = above-average xG (1.3+)

Team

Σ xG

GW13

GW14

GW15

GW16

GW17

GW18

LIV

13.9

WHUA

2.27

SUNH

2.63

LEEA

1.18

BRIH

2.74

TOTA

1.87

WOLH

3.24

MCI

13.6

LEEH

3.55

FULA

1.24

SUNH

2.75

CRYA

1.20

WHUH

3.44

NFOA

1.38

BRE

13.5

BURH

3.89

ARSA

0.60

TOTA

1.39

LEEH

2.98

WOLA

1.45

BOUH

3.16

ARS

12.9

CHEA

1.16

BREH

2.83

AVLA

1.17

WOLH

3.50

EVEA

1.29

BRIH

2.96

NEW

12.3

EVEA

0.91

TOTH

2.92

BURH

4.26

SUNA

0.93

CHEH

2.33

MUNA

0.91

MUN

11.4

CRYA

1.03

WHUH

2.80

WOLA

1.40

BOUH

3.06

AVLA

0.90

NEWH

2.26

BOU

11.3

SUNA

1.18

EVEH

2.05

CHEH

1.89

MUNA

1.16

BURH

3.45

BREA

1.54

AVL

10.3

WOLH

2.97

BRIA

0.92

ARSH

1.43

WHUA

1.24

MUNH

3.07

CHEA

0.68

CPL

10.2

MUNH

2.66

BURA

1.39

FULA

1.10

MCIH

1.80

LEEA

0.88

TOTH

2.41

BRI

10.2

NFOA

1.24

AVLH

2.39

WHUH

2.83

LIVA

0.90

SUNH

2.27

ARSA

0.60

CHE

10.2

ARSH

1.55

LEEA

1.00

BOUA

0.97

EVEH

2.62

NEWA

1.32

AVLH

2.76

FUL

9.7

TOTA

1.25

MCIH

1.70

CRYH

1.82

BURA

1.25

NFOH

2.19

WHUA

1.51

TOT

9.3

FULH

2.13

NEWA

1.14

BREH

1.86

NFOA

1.20

LIVH

1.94

CRYA

1.05

NFO

9.3

BRIH

2.09

WOLA

1.29

EVEA

0.92

TOTH

2.31

FULA

0.98

MCIH

1.73

LEE

8.7

MCIA

0.52

CHEH

2.15

LIVH

2.42

BREA

0.83

CRYH

2.15

SUNA

0.64

WHU

8.2

LIVH

1.72

MUNA

0.92

BRIA

1.11

AVLH

1.75

MCIA

0.76

FULH

1.89

WOL

7.4

AVLA

0.62

NFOH

1.90

MUNH

2.17

ARSA

0.39

BREH

1.70

LIVA

0.59

SUN

7.2

BOUH

2.07

LIVA

0.49

MCIA

0.47

NEWH

1.53

BRIA

0.68

LEEH

1.95

EVE

7.2

NEWH

1.89

BOUA

0.56

NFOH

2.09

CHEA

0.61

ARSH

1.11

BURA

0.92

BUR

5.8

BREA

1.18

CRYH

0.89

NEWA

1.00

FULH

1.09

BOUA

0.73

EVEH

0.96

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Cell Highlighting: Only fixtures with xG above 1.3 are highlighted. Darker green = more favorable attacking fixture.