Tottenham vs Bournemouth preview, 9 Mar 2025: xG form

09 Mar 14:00

J. Brooks

This match has been played.

See full analysis

BOU favoured away from home, but only just.

TOT31%Draw23%BOU46%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Tottenham1.4Bournemouth1.7

A 0.3 xG edge, roughly a one-in-two win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROTOT attack report PROBOU defence report

Very lightPhysically dominant

PROTOT shape report PROBOU shape report

Last 6, goals vs xG

TOT4 scored from 5.1 xG-1.1

BOU6 scored from 7.1 xG-1.1

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Possession-basedVery direct

Sits offHeavy counter-press

Measured riskVery bold

Mid-blockVery high line

ScrappyMiddling control

Very high intensityVery high intensity

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

TOT Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Kulusevski	Corners R, 32 short	59	1.0
Maddison	Corners L and R, 8 short	58	2.3
Porro	Corners L and R, 5 short	54	1.8
Heung-Min	Penalties	2	1.5
Tel	Penalties	1	0.8
Solanke	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

49%

Throw-ins

20%

BOU Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Cook	Corners L and R, 7 short	76	3.0
Tavernier	Corners L and R, 7 short	48	1.2
Cook	Free kicks	36	0.6
Kluivert

PROTOT set pieces PROBOU set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

40%

Penalties

24%

TottenhamTottenham
2-2
BournemouthBournemouth
Sarr 66'
Heung-Min (P) 83'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers