Question 1

What is xGI and why does it matter for FPL?

Accepted Answer

Expected goal involvements add expected goals and expected assists together into a player's total expected attacking contribution. For FPL it combines a player's goal and assist threat in one number, which is why it is the default sort here. Full definition: expected goal involvements explained.

Question 2

How do I use xG to pick FPL transfers?

Accepted Answer

Target players whose goals lag their xG: they are creating chances without the returns, and are often better value than their form suggests. Players scoring well above xG are candidates to regress. Expected goals measures the quality of a chance as the probability that a shot of that type is scored, so a shot worth 0.5 xG should be scored about half the time. Full definition: expected goals explained.

				Fixtures		FPL						Form	Reliability	Returns				Availability
#
1	Tarkowski	EVE	DEF	AHUL HCHE AARS	492'	£6.1m	+0.1	15.2%	43	8.6	7	0.2	100%	1	0	3	51	-	-	-	100%
2	Bogle	LEE	DEF	AARS HMUN ASUN	383'	£4.6m	+0.1	6.5%	42	8.4	6	1.5	100%	2	0	4	16	-	-	-	100%
3	D. Cuyper	BHA	DEF	ASUN HCRY ALIV	457'	£4.9m	+0.4	26.6%	38	7.6	5	2.4	100%	1	2	3	16	-	✓	✓	100%
4	Gvardiol	MCI	DEF	ALIV HIPS AAVL	468'	£5.7m	+0.2	26.4%	37	7.4	6	0.9	100%	1	2	2	31	-	-	-	100%
5	VU Vušković	BHA	DEF	ASUN HCRY ALIV	470'	£5.0m	0.0	3.4%	32	6.4	2	0.6	100%	1	0	3	43	-	-	-	100%
6	Hall	NEW	DEF	ACOV HAVL ACRY	486'	£5.2m	+0.2	16.1%	31	6.2	6	0.6	100%	1	1	1	46	-	✓	✓	100%
7	Guéhi	MCI	DEF	ALIV HIPS AAVL	487'	£6.0m	0.0	18.4%	30	6.0	4	0.7	100%	1	0	2	29	-	-	-	100%
8	Calafiori	ARS	DEF	HLEE ANFO HEVE	453'	£5.8m	+0.3	50.6%	29	5.8	2	1.8	100%	0	2	3	18	-	-	-	100%
9	Branthwaite	EVE	DEF	AHUL HCHE AARS	492'	£5.5m	0.0	2.4%	27	5.4	0	0.2	100%	0	0	3	54	-	-	-	100%
10	Mykolenko	EVE	DEF	AHUL HCHE AARS	492'	£4.6m	+0.1	4.2%	27	5.4	3	0.3	100%	0	0	3	39	-	-	-	100%
11	Muharemović	LEE	DEF	AARS HMUN ASUN	477'	£5.0m	0.0	4.3%	27	5.4	0	0.6	100%	0	1	2	58	-	-	-	100%
12	Ajayi	HUL	DEF	HEVE AFUL HBRE	459'	£4.2m	+0.2	14.2%	27	5.4	2	1.0	100%	1	0	3	27	-	-	-	100%
13	Justin	LEE	DEF	AARS HMUN ASUN	477'	£4.5m	0.0	1.5%	26	5.2	4	0.9	100%	0	0	2	44	-	-	-	100%
14	Egan	HUL	DEF	HEVE AFUL HBRE	471'	£4.1m	+0.1	7.1%	26	5.2	1	0.1	100%	0	0	3	59	-	-	-	100%
15	Magalhaes	ARS	DEF	HLEE ANFO HEVE	495'	£8.0m	0.0	22.9%	25	5.0	2	0.8	100%	0	0	3	41	-	-	-	100%
16	Davis	IPS	DEF	HFUL AMCI HNFO	494'	£4.0m	0.0	6.9%	25	5.0	1	1.8	100%	2	1	0	24	-	-	✓	100%
17	v. Dijk	LIV	DEF	HMCI ABRE HBHA	487'	£6.5m	0.0	16.3%	25	5.0	0	0.6	100%	0	0	3	48	-	-	-	100%
18	Mendy	HUL	DEF	HEVE AFUL HBRE	262'	£4.1m	+0.1	6.3%	25	6.2	1	0.4	100%	1	0	2	39	-	-	-	100%
19	v. Hecke	TOT	DEF	AMUN HCOV ACHE	488'	£4.9m	-0.1	6.6%	24	4.8	2	0.7	100%	1	0	2	43	-	-	-	100%
20	Giles	HUL	DEF	HEVE AFUL HBRE	480'	£4.0m	0.0	2.9%	24	4.8	2	1.0	100%	0	1	3	24	-	✓	✓	100%